195 Election Deniers Are on the Ballot in November—And Many Are Expected to Win

As political voices—including U.S. President Joe Biden—sound the alarm about the state of American democracy nine weeks away from the midterms, FiveThirtyEight on Tuesday published an analysis highlighting election deniers on the ballot.

To determine which candidates bought into former President Donald Trump’s “Big Lie” that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him, FiveThirtyEight examined campaign materials, debates, reporting, and social media, and contacted every Republican nominee for the U.S. House and Senate as well as governor, secretary of state, and attorney general.

The review revealed that of all 529 GOP candidates analyzed, 195 “either clearly stated that the election was stolen from Trump or took legal action to overturn the results, such as voting not to certify election results or joining lawsuits that sought to overturn the election.”

Another 61 nominees haven’t explicitly claimed the election was stolen or taken related legal action but also haven’t said it was legitimate and even “raised doubts about potential fraud.”

Additionally, the position of 115 candidates could not be determined. As FiveThirtyEight explained, “They either had no comment on the 2020 election or avoided answering when asked directly.”

Only 71 nominees fully accepted the 2020 results and another 87 “accepted with reservations,” meaning they believe President Joe Biden won “but still raised concerns about the integrity of the election.” In other words, just 30% of the GOP candidates accept the election in some form.

Many election deniers and “doubters” are expected to win their races, according to FiveThirtyEight‘s midterm elections forecast.

Among Republican House candidates, “118 election deniers and eight election doubters have at least a 95% chance of winning.” While only three Senate candidates have those odds—and seven senators who objected to the election certification are not up for reelection this year—there are a few others who “still have a real shot at winning.”

At the state level, at least two election deniers and four doubters have a 95% chance of being elected governor. FiveThirtyEight doesn’t forecast elections for the other positions but pointed out that “there are also seven election deniers running for attorney general and six for secretary of state, the post that oversees election administration in most states.”

Originally published at Commondreams.org.